How to read the Physical Market Bias

The WTI Physical Market Bias is a simplified indicator designed by me to summarize the underlying U.S. physical oil market into one directional signal. It combines five key factors: commercial crude inventories, Cushing inventories, crude production, refinery crude inputs and total product supplied. Each factor contributes +1 when its four-week trend is supportive of higher oil prices and -1 when it is bearish. The resulting score ranges from -5 to +5: +3 to +5 = Bullish, -2 to +2 = Neutral, and -3 to -5 = Bearish. The bias is not a price prediction or a trading signal by itself - it is intended to provide a quick view of whether the current physical-market fundamentals are generally tightening or loosening.

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Bullish for WTI

Bearish for WTI

WTI Physical Market Bias

Based on five key physical-market trend signals

0 NEUTRAL

Crude Inventories

Cushing Inventories

Crude Production

Refinery Inputs

Product Supplied

Simplified physical-market indicator based on four-week trends. Not an investment recommendation.

US Supply

Commercial Crude Inventories

Strategic Petroleum Reserve

Cushing Crude Inventories

Gasoline Inventories

Distillate Inventories

US Crude Production

Refinery Utilization

US Crude Flows & Demand

Crude Oil Imports

Crude Oil Exports

Refinery Crude Inputs

Physical Flow Balance

Total Product Supplied

4-Week Trend

Crude Inventories

Cushing Inventories

Crude Production

Refinery Crude Inputs

Product Supplied

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WTI Crude Oil & Market Analysis | LukasCZE

WTI Physical Market Dashboard by LukasCZE

How to read the Physical Market Bias

US Supply

US Crude Flows & Demand

4-Week Trend

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